May 6, 2024

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Ethiopia IMF Agreement Delayed due to Tough Conditions

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Ethiopia IMF agreement has been delayed due to tough conditions reportedly. The two were having another round of talks in Washington DC.

Ethiopia has been in talks with IMF and World Bank for bailout package and financing agreements for more than 3 years. The talks gained pace after Ethiopian warring parties, mediated by the US, signed a peace deal in November 2022.

The two sides met in Addis Ababa last month. Though IMF delegation was heard saying that the two sides had made progress, but no agreement could be reached.

This month, IMF, World Bank and Ethiopia resumed talks in the US. IMF and World Bank Spring Meetings were held in Washington last week. The main ministerial meetings and events took place from April 17-19 with other events and activities took place during the week, April 15-20.

A senior Ethiopian delegation led by the Finance Minister Ahmed Shide met with IMF and World Bank officials in Washington DC to reach an agreement about a $3.5 billion bailout package.

Reportedly, the two sides could not reach an agreement due to some tough conditions laid out by the monetary institutions. IMF officials suggested 60% devaluation of Ethiopian birr. Ethiopian delegation offered to depreciate birr by 35% gradually. Read More..

Another sticking point between the two sides is the scale of liberalization of economy. Ethiopia announced to open its real estate, wholesale, coffee and retail sectors to foreign investors this month. But IMF and World Bank want more.

Ethiopian authorities have been mulling over alternatives to IMF program. But the loan payment suspension by G20 to Ethiopia for 2 years is also conditional on agreement with IM. The G-20 countries this month gave a deadline of June 2024 to Ethiopia to conclude agreement with IMF.

It seems that Ethiopia will have to make some tough economic decisions in coming months. Speedy liberalization of economy and significant birr devaluation can create problems for businesses and common man in Ethiopia.

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